So, this is my new blog in English. Straight on the river has been suspended, in light of the pending Bulgarian legislation that will make things much harder for poker players in that country.
However, I still feel the need to share my thoughts and progress in my quest for poker glory which, for various reasons, I haven’t been able to in the past month. And what a month it has been!
Grinding
About a month ago I was in rather rough & uncertain waters – in late March I had moved up a level to the $7 multitable SitNGos (MT SNGs) on Pokerstars and it wasn’t going well. I wasn’t getting anywhere near the return on investment (ROI) I was hoping for and I relied on in order to be able to pay the bills; I wasn’t getting any proper rhythm, with constant interruptions and hindrances in my way; and I knew this could be the make-or-break month for my fledgling poker career if I didn’t make it out of it in OK shape.
For the past few months I had been trying to write my own tools for analysing my and my opponents’ game. I’d gone a little way along but it was taking too long and, frankly, I’m a crap PHP developer, so I decided to just suck it and do as they all do – so I downloaded the Holdem Manager 2 (HEM) trial version, with view to purchasing it if I was happy with it.
Boy, was I happy with it. There is a valid argument to be made that SNG players can’t benefit as much from a HU database as cash players do because the game is mainly down to push/fold ranges lategame but even so, having one makes a world of difference for me. Now, on the lower levels ($1.50 and $3.50) which I got through relatively quickly, I don’t think I needed HEM for the reason that there are only two types of players playing down there – regs and non-regs. I won’t call non-regs “fish” firstly because that’s an arrogant and overused epithet, but mostly because even regs on those levels aren’t formidable opponents and could easily be qualified as “fish” if one were so inclined.
Regs on the lower levels are primarily Russian and Ukrainian, with a smattering of other East European & former Soviet Union countries represented as well. What that means is that they are heavy multitablers (20 tables+) and as a consequence they are very very tight in order to avoid having to make many tricky postflop decisions. They care about that money because it means something to them and are serious grinders. This is a very exploitable strategy, and with the non-regs on these levels being generally easy to play against (just stack them with anything that beats top pair top kicker (TPTK)), all one needs to do is to colour-code the regs (all of them ranging from rock to nit) and play ABC poker against the rest of the field. No real need for HEM or any other HUD, thought undoubtedly it can’t hurt if you have one.
On the $7s, however, the picture is starkly different. Most regs here are from the UK, Australia and Canada and multitable only 2-6 tables. They are willing to 3-bet you light, are happy to play a lot of postflop and, once the going gets tough, readily adhere to ICM principles. There is a multitude of different styles on display and not a little relatively strong opponents who can hold their own. The distinction between reg and rock here is vital and this is where HEM comes very handy, even displaying the most basic stats – VPIP, pre- and postflop aggro and 3-bet %.
I’ve been making good use of those and gradually managed to post a handsome 20% ROI, finishing April well ahead and affording myself my first poker salary. Albeit a meager one compared to what I used to make before, it was a great psychological moment for me, as it meant I wasn’t completely deluding myself into thinking this could actually work out and I may never have to go back to wageslaving for the corporate world.
So am I now a pro?
A lot of people equate being “a pro” with being good at what you do. I’m not one of those people. You may suck at washing dishes but if you are being paid to wash dishes at a restaurant, you’re a professional dishwasher and that’s that. In the same vain, I may not be a particularly impressive poker player and I’d porbably get my ass handed to me if I went and played cash in my local casino – but if my sole source of income is poker and I pay my bills with poker money and poker is all I do all day long, I don’t think there should be any doubt about my status as a professional poker player.
That may not continue for too long, maybe it will turn out that’s an unsustainable dream and all my luck’s run out and in a few months I’ll have to find a “real” job but for now I’m happy playing poker for a living and, if we need to put a label on it, to be a pro.
SCOOP
May started with a focus on MTTs in anticipation of the poker feast that is the Spring Championship of Online Poker. Almost none of the tournaments on offer were within the constraints of my strict (overly so) bankroll management but thanks to the WBCOOP in March, I had freerolled a few tickets into SCOOP – I had a couple of $11 and $5.50 tickets available to me. It turned out there was only one $5.50 tourney scheduled (the action hour rebuy) but I decided to play both 2-day $11 NLHE events (#8 and #27). I managed to satelite my way into event 1 ($27 6-max) and traded my FPPs for tickets into event 2 ($27 NLHE) and event 7 ($7.50 Heads-up).
In none of these events did I last more than 4-5 hours, though in most that meant surviving 15 thousand people or more – unfortunately never enough to even get in the money. However, while playing these events I managed to bink! my biggest cash ever – a 6th place in The Big $4.40 for over $900. After 10 hours of gruelling night-time play I was literally minutes away from my first 4-figure payday but couldn’t quite muster it and a couple of badly played hands cost me.
Still, I was more than happy with that result and very glad I decided to play the SCOOP. It’s given me what I think would be vital experience for future similar series and binking that 6th almost doubled my bankroll and definitely gives me some breathing space for the months to come.
The SCOOP is not actually over yet and I may still play the $27 6-max event tomorrow, if I manage to satellite into it. The Main Event is, unfortunately, out of my reach.
What next?
Well, there’s a couple of weeks left in May during which I’ll hopefully play 8 or 9 solid days of $7 SNGs. So far this month SNGs have been very profitable for me and I hope to retain that form in the coming sessions. Depending on results and basically if I feel confident to have beaten the level with a decent ROI, I’ll then venture into June one level up, to the $15s. I am not expecting the level of play to be much harder there, though with summer starting there may be less games to be had. Still, a 120 buy-in bankroll should be more than enough for me to take a shot, and obviously I’ll have my usual stop-loss measures in place in case things turn sour.
I don’t intend increasing the number of tables I play anytime soon. Not before I hit a brick wall and am forced to play for volume rather than profit. As long as I see my game improving and beating the levels with the 4 tables I play now, I’ll be happy. My goal is to become a better player and to be able to transition to higher levels, not to grind out like a bot forever.
Live games
To that end I’ll also keep on going to my local casinos at least twice a month to play in freezeouts; and I’ll keep trying to qualify online for the Eureka in Golden Sands in June. At the start of the month I played a 45 BGN freezeout with a farily neat structure – 6000 starting stacks with 30 minute blind levels. Busted out in about ten minutes. 4th hand of the tourney, with blinds at 25/50, I raised to 150 from early position with QQ. A fairly active guy two seats to my left with whom I had tangled already reraised to 400. I thought about folding, as this early in a live tourney re-raise usually means Aces or Kings, but then thought that the guy may already be leveling me, so decided to find out where he was with a 4-bet to 1050.
He smooth called (I guess he would be priced in with something like AJ/ATs or a smaller pair for set value) and we saw a flop of 66Qhh. I checked and he checked behind. Turn came a K and I bet out for about 1200, leaving 3300 behind. He thought for a minute, then called. At this point I was pretty sure he had AK suited, probably of hearts and was licking my chops at the thought of value-towning him on the river.
The River came the 8 of hearts, completing the flush draw and now I bet out, in my best impression of frustrated-and-ready-to-fold, for 600 leaving 2700 behind. He looked at me funny and jammed and I snapped, not thinking twice about it. What do you know, he turned over KK for the second nuts over my third nuts and that was it for me. Embarassing walk of shame to the casino exit and two days of going over the hand again and again in my head and I still can’t decide if I made the right call OTR. Does he ever jam anything that I beat there? I suppose AK hearts makes sense… maybe 88 though I dont see 88 paying off the turn that often. Should I have just jammed the river instead of leading 600 and then calling off his jam? Should I not have 3-bet preflop but just played for set value? Lots of questions but I guess bygones should just be bygones and I have to hope that this ugly cooler made the poker gods redeem me by giving me smooth sailing in The Big $4.40 a week later for my biggest cash ever!
Football… bloody hell
April was going to be make-or-break not only for me but for Man United who lost their 8-point lead to local rivals City in the build-up to the derby at the end of the month. We (yes, I’m one of those annoying gloryhunters who use “we” when talking about their favourite team) lost the derby and then two weeks later lost the title, too, in heartbreaking fashion. Never have 2 minutes of football been so gut-wrenching for me (I was too young in 1999 I suppose and really the feeling then was one of elation rather than sinking), maybe apart from the two minutes 3 weeks earlier when we lost a 4-2 lead against Everton to draw 4-4 and set up the derby as the deciding final.
I cannot really begrudge City their title, as they fought for it blood and guts and all, and showed a true champions spirit to fight back in the face of adversity – drawing Sunderland 3-3 when they were losing 3-1 10 minutes before the whistle; doing one over Tottenham in extra time when they could have been one down a minute earlier; and most importantly that last game against QPR when they were losing the game and the title when normal time was up. I hope their fans relish it, as they’ve stuck with the club through thick and thin (mostly thin) in their travails between the Divisions; I hope they relish it because it will be their last for a while now 😉
I can’t begrudge them but I also can’t help wondering what if – what if we hadn’t gone chasing that game at Old Trafford when they lead 2-1? Maybe they wouldn’t have thrashed us 6-1 and the goal difference in the end would’ve been on our side. What if De Gea hadn’t made one mistake too many and allowed Blackburn to score a third in the 2-3 loss, again on Old Trafford? Maybe then we’d be one point up and champions now. What if the ref had sent off Baloteli for his brutal foul on Parker in City’s game vs. Tottenham and he hadn’t had the chance to get that penalty for them to win it in extra time?
These are all exercises in futility however, the championship is over and we have to look forward to the next one, hoping the team will be stronger and the young guns will have learned a lesson or two the hard way. We have a very exciting and youthful squad which should be able to continue rivaling City’s untold wealth for years to come, even though Glazernomics dictates buying smart and promoting from within rather than splurging petrodollars on proven stars. The Japanese guy is coming from Dortmund soon to slot in central midfield and with Tom Cleverly coming of age and hopefully free of injury (oh how glad I am that Kevin Davies and his ugly Bolton were relegated!) and Scholesey still bossing the opposition in the big games, we’ll be fine in that department. I’d love it if we could get our hands on Everton’s Jack Rodwell who’s been out injured a lot this season but is a very promising young midfielder and should be realitvely cheap given Everton’s situation.
Patrice Evra should be getting more downtime with ageing, as he’s been a liability for us this season, so hopefully we add in left back; or even more hopefully, Fabio and Zecky Friars mount a strong challenge for that spot. The other spots in defence seem fairly solid to me. We should be adding an impact sub up front as well, where we’re losing Owen and Berbamagic, whilst Kiko Macheda and Diouf don’t seem to have the mettle to make it in the first team and Will Keane is still cutting his teeth with the Reserves and probably will need a spell on loan for a season or two before he becomes the force he seems destined to be.
It would be very interesting to see what City do in the market – not only in terms of buying (Hazard seems to be heading that way) but also selling. If Dzeko, Baloteli and Tevez all leave as has been suggested, they may have trouble in the beginning of the season, before the newcomers blend in. Chelsea & Liverpool will be recruiting new managers and with that may return as powerful enemies so it looks like an interesting summer ahead. Add the Euros to the mix (not to forget tonight’s Champions League final) and it might be a less than torturous couple of months before the next season comes to bring us joy and pain in equal measure again.
Long post, huh
So this has been rather a rant but I have been off blogging for a month – and what a month it has been! – so I could be forgiven for having a lot to say. I’ll try to keep this space relatively free of boring stats and graphs (maybe just monthly) and I won’t adhere to a strict posting schedule because from previous experience that becomes a burden very quickly. I’ll be posting when I have something interesting to say or just when I feel like it. Till then!